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This
competition compares expert fantasy football sites preseason projections
to actual end of the season numbers.
Site preseason projections are secured by position prior to the
beginning of the NFL season. All significant preseason
players who have played a substantial portion of the games will be
included. Players will be ranked by the actual numbers from the regular
season on a per game basis. Thus, if player A compiled 200 points in 10
games (20 points per game) and player B accumulated 250 points in 16
games (15.6 points per game) then player A will rank higher.
The experts projections will rank the players in their predicted order
of finish by fantasy points for the season.
The challenge will be divided into separate categories for Overall, QB,
RB, WR, TE, and K.
Fantasy points will be tallied for each
player as follows:
0.1 point for each yard rushing or receiving
0.04 points for each yard passing
-1 points for an interception
6 points for each TD (of any kind)
3 points for FG of any length
1 point for each PAT
The positive difference between the expert site and the actual outcome
will be summed for all players. For example, suppose Expert Site A
predicts Peyton Manning to finish 3rd and Tom Brady 1st among
quarterbacks. Then the actual place of finish turns out to be 2nd for
Manning and 4th for Brady.
Expert Site A, for these two players, the sum would be equal to 4
(3-2=1 for Manning & 1-4=-3 - using only positive values changes Brady's
difference from -3 to 3).
If Expert Site B had projected Manning to come in 7th and Brady 11th,
then expert site B would total 12
(7-2=5 for Manning & 11-4=7 for Brady). In this case Expert Site A would
rank higher for quarterbacks than
Expert Site B.
Expert Site A 4
Expert Site B 12
The final result tables will be shown in percentiles. If a site scores
in the 75th percentile then this means that this site did equal or
better than 75 percent of all expert sites. The Overall table represents
a composite for all positions (1/4 for QB, RB, WR, and 1/8 for TE and
K).
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